Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.001884 0.002001 0.002123 0.002259 0.002406 0.002561 0.002737
2025-04-06 0.001687 0.001850 0.002025 0.002228 0.002459 0.002712 0.003014
2025-04-13 0.001541 0.001730 0.001939 0.002190 0.002485 0.002821 0.003237
2025-04-20 0.001403 0.001603 0.001831 0.002110 0.002448 0.002844 0.003351
2025-04-27 0.001344 0.001561 0.001814 0.002132 0.002525 0.003001 0.003627
2025-05-04 0.001307 0.001542 0.001820 0.002178 0.002631 0.003193 0.003957
2025-05-11 0.001286 0.001538 0.001842 0.002242 0.002760 0.003420 0.004342
2025-05-18 0.001246 0.001508 0.001830 0.002260 0.002828 0.003569 0.004631
2025-05-25 0.001183 0.001447 0.001774 0.002217 0.002814 0.003606 0.004766
2025-06-01 0.001136 0.001401 0.001736 0.002195 0.002824 0.003673 0.004945
2025-06-08 0.001107 0.001380 0.001727 0.002210 0.002884 0.003811 0.005232
2025-06-15 0.001067 0.001340 0.001692 0.002189 0.002890 0.003873 0.005409
2025-06-22 0.001028 0.001304 0.001664 0.002180 0.002921 0.003981 0.005678
2025-06-29 0.000984 0.001258 0.001621 0.002149 0.002918 0.004040 0.005877
2025-07-06 0.000940 0.001213 0.001577 0.002112 0.002905 0.004081 0.006052
2025-07-13 0.000887 0.001151 0.001507 0.002035 0.002829 0.004022 0.006056
2025-07-20 0.000869 0.001138 0.001504 0.002056 0.002898 0.004190 0.006449
2025-07-27 0.000860 0.001136 0.001517 0.002100 0.003004 0.004423 0.006970
2025-08-03 0.000857 0.001142 0.001541 0.002161 0.003141 0.004712 0.007617
2025-08-10 0.000840 0.001129 0.001537 0.002178 0.003207 0.004890 0.008077
2025-08-17 0.000809 0.001092 0.001496 0.002137 0.003179 0.004904 0.008233
2025-08-24 0.000784 0.001065 0.001469 0.002116 0.003180 0.004970 0.008492
2025-08-31 0.000770 0.001054 0.001465 0.002131 0.003241 0.005143 0.008974